Diametral Creep Prediction of Pressure Tube using Statistical Regression Methods

Abstract

Diametral creep prediction of pressure tube in CANDU reactor is an important factor for ROPT calculation. In this study, pressure tube diametral creep prediction models were developed using statistical regression method such as linear mixed model for longitudinal data analysis. Inspection and operating condition data of Wolsong unit 1 and 2 reactors were used. Serial correlation model and random coefficient model were developed for pressure tube diameter prediction. Random coefficient model provided more accurate results than serial correlation model.